Market Forecast

Stocks have been performing quite well lately and we have been reaching new highs day after day. Some stocks though have run up too far too fast and are due for a small correction. Below I have a chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average and I've outlined the pattern that is being formed, and a very rough forecast of where it is expected to go in the next week or two. I suggest that it's time for taking some profits and raising some cash for when the market as a whole goes 3-5% lower..

Eldorado Gold (TSE:ELD) (NYSE:EGO)

Eldorado Gold is now my number 1 play on rising gold prices. It's one of the cheapest gold producers in the world, and a very well run company. They recently purchased Sino Gold, another low cost producer mining in China. I previously recommended Yamana Gold (YRI/AUY) and the GLD fund. Which have all had great runs since. I think Yamana has had a great run which is why I think it's time to sell that one, because it is not a top tier gold company.
The GLD ETF (Exchange Traded Fund) which tracks the price of gold is still buy, as gold is going higher. Some analysts are saying it could go to $2500/ounce which is quite possible since interest rates are low and are staying low for some time, and the world has been printing money off like crazy.

Eldorado is currently priced just a few cents away from $14. They are the lowest cost producer, and for every dollar that gold rises, it's a dollar in their pocket. Eldorado is constantly increasing production, which means they are also growing along with the price of gold. The stock is an excellent long term play, and they are benefitting highly from the rise in gold. Eldorado is a buy at any pullback. The stock is going to $20.

Wynn Resorts (NASDAQ:WYNN)

Back on September 14th I told you that Wynn was a buy. The stock was at $65 then and is now trading at $69. I also told you that if the stock dropped below the $55 mark it would be huge buying opportunity, which you had near the end of October when the stock dropped to the $53-$54 range for just a few days.
So do I still think Wynn is a buy? Wynn is even more of a buy now than it was when I first recommended it. The company has a lot of cash in store and very little debt, especially relative to its casino peers LVS and MGM. China Macau casinos have stabilized and are helping Wynn turn up profit. Even Las Vegas casinos are stabilizing, and will begin to show some growth possibly in the next year, which is something to look forward to in 2010 that could send the tock higher.
But right now there's even more good news. Wynn Resorts is declaring a special and massive $4 dividend with ex dividend date Nov 17 2009. At the current stock price of $69, that's a 5.7% yield just for holding the stock at the close on November 16th. The company also said it would start paying a $0.20 dividend beginning in 2010. They simply love shareholders.
But will the stock tank after the dividend has been paid out? Wynn's technicals are also looking great right now, which I think can send the stock soaring further. Wynn was upgraded last week to a Buy by Deutche Bank, which a target price of $80. Personally, this target is a bit low. Take a look at the chart below. Wynn has once again just broken through its 50 day moving average. If you look back, each time it has done so, the stock has moved up $20-$30. I can see Wynn between the $90-$100 by year end.

Canadian Oil Sands (TSE:COS.UN)

Canadian Oil Sands has recently broken through its $30 resistance. The stock made a pullback after the recent unemployment report, which gives investors a great opportunity to buy. The stock has been inching its way higher even though oil has stayed roughly the same over the past few months. COS.UN can break even when oil prices are $38 a barrel. At $70 oil, Canadian Oil Sands can increase its dividend and will also provide some growth. I see oil heading higher by year end as we make our way out of this recession. COS.UN could be at $40 by then with a hefty yield.

Wynn Resorts (NASDAQ:WYNN)

Wynn is a heated Casino stock that can make you a ton of money without taking much of a gamble. Sentiments have been so bearish towards the casinos, that all the recent analyst upgrades have surprised investors and are sending it much higher. They’re not done yet, and the stock isn’t done going higher, because everyone wants to get in on Wynn. Wynn was over $164 a share before this great bear market and recession occurred. A cut back in gambling in Vegas has taken a toll on the stock. But Wynn’s strong balance sheet and very little debt relative to the other casinos makes it a great play on the turnaround in casinos. Its China casinos are also growing even faster than in the States, which have already helped Wynn blow away the earnings estimates.

Now the stock has had a quick run up from $52 to $65. People should be taking some profit which can bring the stock down a few bucks. If it ever goes below $55, the stock is a steal. I would also be buying under the $60 level.

Vast Exploration (CVE:VST)

VST is a small oil and gas company that is up almost 800% from its 52-week low. The stock has had a recent move upward, but is it still a buy? Taking a look at the technical chart below, Vast Exploration has used its 200 day moving average in the past, as a means of propelling itself higher. Between March and June 2009, the stock rallied 49 cents off its moving average, before taking a pullback. Again, just weeks ago, the stock broke through again and rallied almost the same amount (47 cents to the high and 42 cents to where it is today). It looks like the stock can only run up a few more cents before taking another breather. Even though I’m bullish on VST, wait for a pullback to the low 70s before buying more. The stock has run up too far is such a short period of time.

Potash Corp of Saskatchewan (TSE:POT) (NYSE:POT)

Fertilizer demand in the last year has slowed dramatically. However, farmers can’t hold off for much longer on giving their crops the much needed nutrients. Potash helps increase crop yields and defends against pests and disease. Without potash crop yield are significantly lower. Farmers, especially in China where the population is larger, will start placing orders for potash ramping up the demand. They can’t hold off purchasing the nutrient forever since when they harvest their crop, it removes these valuable nutrients from the soil that within 18 months need to be replenished. Potash Corp of Saskatchewan (TSE:POT) (NYSE:POT) is the best run company in this business and is sure to profit the most. Potash Corp trades at a premium to its peers and is known to have the most powerful momentum on the way up. The chart below shows the surge in the share price when potash prices and demand skyrocketed in 2007 and 2008. The stock is cheap right now, but will quickly turn when the demand spikes in the coming year.